Bakkt Holdings Stock Performance
| BKKT Stock | USD 13.63 0.87 6.00% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 5.22, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Bakkt Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, Bakkt Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.72%. Please make sure to confirm Bakkt Holdings' maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Bakkt Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Bakkt Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (6.00) | Five Day Return (9.13) | Year To Date Return 21.16 | Ten Year Return (95.04) | All Time Return (95.04) |
Last Split Factor 1:25 | Last Split Date 2024-04-29 |
1 | Acquisition by Akshay Naheta of 1342282 shares of Bakkt Holdings at 10.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/31/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Akshay Naheta of 69733 shares of Bakkt Holdings at .34 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/03/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 169 shares by Henderson Joseph Sean-walsh of Bakkt Holdings at 21.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/12/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 465890 shares by Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. of Bakkt Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
5 | Stocks With Rising Relative Price Strength Bakkt Holdings - Investors Business Daily | 12/04/2025 |
6 | Bakkt Holdings Sells Loyalty Business to Project Labrador - The Globe and Mail | 12/11/2025 |
7 | Bakkt stock today news Short-term outlook sees Bakkt stock trapped between 8.50 support and 12.50 resistance - Traders Union | 12/16/2025 |
8 | Bakkt Q3 earnings hit by charge amid effort to streamline in digital asset economy - MSN | 12/22/2025 |
9 | Aug Shorts How Bakkt Holdings Inc Warrant stock reacts to weak economy - 2025 Investor Takeaways Expert Curated Trade Setups - moha.gov.vn | 12/29/2025 |
10 | Acquisition by Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. of 465890 shares of Bakkt Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
11 | Bakkt Holdings Approves Management Stock Option Grant - MSN | 01/09/2026 |
12 | Bakkt Trading Down 6.4 percent Should You Sell | 01/15/2026 |
13 | Bakkt agrees to acquire Distributed Technologies Research - MSN | 01/21/2026 |
14 | Disposition of 335 shares by Alexander Karen of Bakkt Holdings at 10.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/23/2026 |
15 | -2.47 USD Top Loser BKKT-WT Bakkt Holdings NYSE After Hours 28 Jan 2026 Catalysts - Meyka | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 118.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 14.1 M |
Bakkt Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,688 in Bakkt Holdings on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,325) from holding Bakkt Holdings or give up 49.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. Bakkt Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 9.1322% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 82% of stocks are less volatile than Bakkt, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Bakkt Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Bakkt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 13.63 | 90 days | 13.63 | about 71.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bakkt Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.45 (This Bakkt Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Bakkt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 5.22 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bakkt Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Bakkt Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bakkt Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bakkt Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bakkt Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bakkt Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bakkt Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bakkt Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bakkt Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bakkt Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 5.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Bakkt Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bakkt Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bakkt Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bakkt Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bakkt Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (103.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (50.22 M). | |
| Bakkt Holdings currently holds about 273.72 M in cash with (21.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.48. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bakkt Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bakkt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bakkt Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bakkt Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39 M |
Bakkt Holdings Fundamentals Growth
Bakkt Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Bakkt Holdings, and Bakkt Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Bakkt Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.66 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0584 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.05) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 319.06 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 24.04 M | |||
| Price To Book | 3.23 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.1 X | |||
| Revenue | 3.49 B | |||
| Gross Profit | (50.22 M) | |||
| EBITDA | (83.36 M) | |||
| Net Income | (103.45 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 273.72 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 3.48 X | |||
| Total Debt | 23.54 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.49 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.95 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (21.2 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (5.71) X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 445.19 M | |||
| Total Asset | 269.38 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (797.96 M) | |||
| Working Capital | 46.13 M | |||
About Bakkt Holdings Performance
Assessing Bakkt Holdings' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Bakkt Holdings' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Bakkt Holdings is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.27) | (0.28) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.81) | (0.85) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.20) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.58) | (1.66) |
Things to note about Bakkt Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bakkt Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Bakkt Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bakkt Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bakkt Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (103.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (50.22 M). | |
| Bakkt Holdings currently holds about 273.72 M in cash with (21.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.48. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
- Analyzing Bakkt Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Bakkt Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Bakkt Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Bakkt Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Bakkt Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Bakkt Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Bakkt Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Bakkt Stock Analysis
When running Bakkt Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Bakkt Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bakkt Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Bakkt Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bakkt Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bakkt Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bakkt Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.